General

Re: Population of the Imperium (Td V96#174)

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Date: Fri, 28 Jun 96 11:39:54 -0400
From: Derek Wildstar <wildstar@qrc.com>
To: traveller@MPGN.COM
Subject: Re: Population of the Imperium (Td V96#174)

"Bruce Johnson" <johnson@tonic.pharm.Arizona.EDU> wrote:
> So I applied a massive overkill of technology (Sybase Sys 10 on a HP
> workstation, using expensive client-server applications) and put all
> of the fabled 'Genie sector data' into a database.

I did something similar a number of years ago, except I used SAS and a
spare IBM mainframe.  What's very interesting is that I got different
numbers than you did ...

> Sectors included: 32
> Ley, Core, Deneb, Spica, Verge, Vland, Daibei, Delphi, Lishun,
> Magyar, Antares, Fornast, Hlakhoi, Corridor, Diaspora, Iwahfuah,
> Gushemege, Massillia, Ealiyasiyw, Dagudashaag, Dark Nebula, Reft
> Sector, Staihaia Yo, Alpha Crucis, Hinterworlds, Solomani Rim,  Old
> Expanses, Empty Quarter, Trojan Reaches, Riftspan Reaches, Spinward
> Marches, and Glimmerdrift Reaches

I had 35 sectors, from the GEnie database.  The data was from Early- or
Pre-rebellion sources, and so was closest to the Imperium at its height.
Here's the sectors, and the number of worlds in each:

World Distribution by Sector
SECTOR        NUMBER   PERCENT
------------------------------
AlphaCru        486      3.3
Antares         553      3.7
Core            545      3.7
Corridor        267      1.8
Dagudash        560      3.8
Daibei          453      3.1
DarkNebu        487      3.3
Delphi          346      2.3
Deneb           386      2.6
Diaspora        473      3.2
Ealiyasi        400      2.7
EmptyQ          311      2.1
Fornast         517      3.5
Glimmerd        350      2.4
Gushemeg        533      3.6
Hinter          435      2.9
Hlakhoi         393      2.7
Ilelish         451      3.1
Iwahfuah        411      2.8
Ley             387      2.6
Lishun          601      4.1
Magyar          516      3.5
Massilia        519      3.5
OldExpan        426      2.9
ReaversD        366      2.5
Reft            123      0.8
Riftspan        108      0.7
Solomani        400      2.7
Spica           451      3.1
Spinward        439      3.0
Staihaia        472      3.2
TrojanRe        327      2.2
Verge           234      1.6
Vland           532      3.6
Zarushag        496      3.4

> Total number of Worlds: 13,410

I get a total of 14,754 worlds (not all of these are Imperial).

> Total number of Worlds, by Allegiance
> 	Allegiance	Number of Systems 
> 	 Im	7026	 
> 	 As	1896 	
> 	 Na	1293
>  	 So	1058 	
> 	Dd	326
>  	 Ma	261
>  	 Li	258
>  	 Cs	177
>  	 Hv	177 
> 	 Va	113
>  	 Jr	80
> 
> 	 	These are the major ones, there are a number of other codes
> present in the data that I don't recognize.  Hell, I don't recognize
> all of these! (Someone help please?)

Sure!

It looks like you're using the same raw data I was; the allegiances are
coded for the Rebellion.  In particular, "Dd" is the Domain of Deneb, "Ma"
is Margaret's Faction, "Li" is Lucan's Imperium - all of which should
properly be part of the "Classic" Third Imperium.  Here's my breakdown:

Distribution of Factions
FACTION FREQUENCY   PERCENT
---------------------------
As          2020     13.7
Cs           166      1.1
Dd           651      4.4
Fi           490      3.3
Hv           177      1.2
Im          5354     36.3
Li          1093      7.4
Ma           298      2.0
Na          1388      9.4
Ot          1435      9.7
Rv           443      3.0
So          1069      7.2
St           148      1.0
Zh            22      0.1

Code:
As = Aslan; Cs = Client State; Dd = Domain of Deneb; Fi = Federation of
Ilelish; Hv = Hiver; Im = Imperial (unaligned or faction unknown);
Li = Lucan's Imperium; Ma = Margaret's Faction; Na = Non-Aligned (non
Imperial); Ot = Other (includes all Vargr Polities); Rv = Restored Vilani
Empire; So = Solomani; St = Strephon's Imperium; Zh = Zhodani

I then combinedthese codes to attempt to produce a reasonable pre-rebellion
Imperium.  Here's what I came up with:

Pre-Rebellion Political Entities
POLITY   FREQUENCY   PERCENT
----------------------------
H             177      1.2
I           10497     71.1
N            1388      9.4
O            1601     10.9
S            1069      7.2
Z              22      0.1

H = Hiver; I = Imperial; N = Non-Aligned (non Imperial);
O = Other; S = Solomani; Z = Zhodani

> It's clear, though, that the Imperium consists of slightly fewer
> than 11,000 worlds, by  about 36%!

Within some areas of the Imperium, alignment codes where used to indicate
ethinc regions and internal semi-autonomous districts.  This also reduced
the count of "Imperial" worlds.

> Using the numbers here, the total population of the Imperium is as
> follows:  Total Population 28,051,512,234,733
> Number of Worlds	UWP Pop figure
> 536	10
> 323	9
> 470	8
> 606	7
> 621	6
> 732	5
> 711	4
> 596	3
> 506	2
> 403	1
> 1520	0

Here's my figures:
POPEX   FREQUENCY   PERCENT
---------------------------
              33      0.2
0            445      3.0
1            751      5.1
2           1177      8.0
3           1474     10.0
4           2137     14.5
5           2249     15.2
6           2028     13.7
7           1666     11.3
8           1495     10.1
9            939      6.4
A            360      2.4

"POPEX" is the SAS variable name I chose for "Population Exponent" (in other
words, UPP population code).  The blank are 33 worlds for which UPP data was
missing or invalid.  Oddly enough, I have significantly fewer POP-A worlds
than you do, and also fewer population 0 worlds.

When I originally fetched data for my analysis, there were two sets of
files.  One was an extensive and fairly complete set of "early rebellion"
files (which is what I based my analysis on, because I was interested in the
pre-rebellion Imperium).  The other was a much later (and much less
complete) set of later rebellion files (perhaps adjusted - or partly
adjusted - for Hard Times).  Did you use this latter set of data?
If so, I doubt that it reflects the Third Imperium.

I also did some breakdowns by sector and polity of the total population,
total Gross Planetary Product, and estimated tax revenues.  Here's the data:

Sector  Number  PopulationK    GPP-LMCr     Tax-MCr
---------------------------------------------------
AlphaCru   486  1021307948  22879674748   167684616
Antares    553   661250083  10383843250    58911465
Core       545   743850576  16992427877   130330737
Corridor   267   267304301   3828214926    25703382
Dagudash   560   839332216  16987143149   131885570
Daibei     453  1008292340  21341417927   151036533
DarkNebu   487   635816272   5882258364    28013721
Delphi     346   585112171   7945604790    39449041
Deneb      386   628549145  11848395657    66508165
Diaspora   473   458014942   8123337764    51882974
Ealiyasi   400   555687307  10338275615    69075677
EmptyQ     311   252354900   2310113101     7502564
Fornast    517   502146085  10441532278    67808891
Glimmerd   350   729271555  10836740366    60209223
Gushemeg   533   543900688   9426273901    67602201
Hinter     435   352263798   5034877405    23875377
Hlakhoi    393   519502525   8073331320    38827646
Ilelish    451   953180936  21665801766   171251650
Iwahfuah   411   341174085   5564840177    27838096
Ley        387   593430885   7973360158    49062914
Lishun     601   856767050  17979182790   129838475
Magyar     516   545431324   9299408662    50726316
Massilia   519  1028922716  21973638063   174656173
OldExpan   426  1501846765  27940062653   210674879
ReaversD   366   666034479   9643721982    57576312
Reft       123   153285010   2547384925    15878937
Riftspan   108   251235776   5334119122    38738350
Solomani   400  1694555089  33426886232   272073579
Spica      451   403666465   6101674500    35695206
Spinward   439   436803660   6224379801    33251777
Staihaia   472   348598338   5987084882    36449008
TrojanRe   327   544441030   8846448351    58032679
Verge      234   246953079   5162271741    32510631
Vland      532  1018973320  18178477927   117754510
Zarushag   496   334669561   5037467301    26279001
---------------------------------------------------
ALL      14754 22223926420 401559673471  2724596278

This is overall (all polities).  Population is in thousands (so that's a
total of 22,223,926,420,000 sophonts).  GPP is in _local_ credits (not
converted to the TL-15, Starport-A "Imperial" credit).  The TaxMCr _is_
in "Imperial" standard credits; that's the amount of tax paid to the 
interstellar government.

Here's the breakdown by Polity.  "I" is the Imperium.

Polity Number  PopulationK    GPP-LMCr   Army-LMCr   Navy-LMCr    Tax-MCr
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
H         177   194828490   3443011755    20049438    52253777    22238957
I       10497 16731817153 317425396400  2236702704  4429229399  2194749587
N        1388  1703549781  19264207248   141668967   262879329   109535364
O        1601  1971765543  30705501643   219838421   424977020   182035162
S        1069  1597654682  30450701865   176720305   462744319   215035232
Z          22    24310772    270854559     2274241     3413703     1001976

The "Army-LMCr" and "Navy-LMCr" are the funds available (in local credits)
for locally-raised army and system-defense units.  These units would
ordinarily be under the control of the worlds that raised them, and are IN
ADDITION to the Imperial (or other empire) military.  The Tax-MCr column
gives the funds available to the Imperium for it's own Navy, Marine, Scout,
and Imperial Army forces.  These are in Imperial (TL-15, starport-A)
credits.

> So now, David's  numbers of 5,625,000,000 MCr in ships, and
> 160,000-4,400,000 MCr per Month on Salaries can be put into real
> taxation terms.

It looks like these are easily supported under the Imperial budgets, and
local defense and anti-piracy forces can easily be supported in addition.

> Navy for capital ships and crew alone as 308,610,000 MCr / year. 
> That means the average Imperial citizen pays (let me check my number
> of zeros, here) 77,296 Cr annually for the munificent protection of
> the Imperial Navy. 

By my figures, it's about 14% of the Imperial tax revenues; about 18.45
Credits a person a year.

> 	It's quite possible that one or more of us is off by a significant 
> number of decimal places.  I'll have to recheck my figures and see; 
> but I am pretty confident of those population figures.

I think your source data is suspect, and the allegiance coding is making
your Imperium be far too small.  

Here's one more thing that should prove useful for defense analists.  It's a
breakdown of the Imperium by TL and starport type, showing number of worlds
of that type, total population and GPP (local credits) as well as local
defense and Imperial taxes (Imperial taxes are in Imperial credits).

Polity Imperium
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
TL Port Number Population    GPP-LMCr   Army-LMCr   Navy-LMCr    Tax-MCr
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
0  A        1           0           0           0           0           0
   B        4           0           0           0           0           0
   C        2           0           0           0           0           0
   E        3           0           0           0           0           0
   X       15       60702           0           0           0           0
1  C        1      800000           0           0           0           0
   D        2      580000           0           0           0           0
   E        5      166000           0           0           0           0
   X       23     1857464           0           0           0           0
2  B        1           0           0           0           0           0
   C        1        3000           0           0           0           0
   D        6      209805           0           0           0           0
   E       15     2365432           0           0           0           0
   X       16     2960300           0           0           0           0
3  C        7      142080           0           0           0           0
   D       22     3716592           0           0           0           0
   E       28     7540632           0           0           0           0
   X       16     2493013           0           0           0           0
4  B        3      108000           0           0           0           0
   C       19     4682167           0           0           0           0
   D       71     7501678           0           0           0           0
   E       55     6018435           0           0           0           0
   X       24     8272044           0           0           0           0
5  B        8     1069002     2297282       19297       28946         827
   C       58    14746169    34763899      191143      538899        9386
   D       83    12102544    24357733      192085      319427        4384
   E      123     7741626    15156566      126369      191919        1364
   X       28     1597671     2687462       15720       40716         242
6  A        2       82000      622080        5225        7838         560
   B       43     4827035    19892457      166987      250755       14323
   C      151    31470953   128320219      849911     1844814       57744
   D      114    35941280   151067660     1236976     1935444       54384
   E      147    27232902   126315749      928440     1724191       34105
   X       24   144108221   589499102     4822014     7557466      159165
7  A        4     3174000    26683184      224139      336208       48030
   B       89     9668207    71867327      603684      905531       97021
   C      274   131843203   775730564     6451911     9838428      698157
   D      152    91505940   722267294     6047523     9120093      520033
   E      202    78754157   483254993     3477097     6671257      217465
   X       30    16282454    90392833      756843     1141406       40677
8  A       23    14259234   115054654      966386     1449762      310647
   B      196    39299126   364650465     3055235     4602425      820463
   C      362   168470119  1393102891    11305547    17949610     2507584
   D      173    69367345   558124363     4626652     7093959      753468
   E      204   162622966  1229888670     9751904    16075756     1106900
   X       22    19282091   181366308     1479139     2329552      163230
9  A       56    10663195   127321316     1064747     1609001      458357
   B      308    98921450  1025648301     8122653    13415958     3230792
   C      435   288247359  2981562823    24104147    38508677     8050217
   D      180   254035437  2401722624    19384549    31051627     5403874
   E      160   292940797  2956480838    21754027    40332066     5321663
   X       17    12931221   124502536      406072     2208480      224105
A  A      135    26881005   369727939     3063882     4700401     1663776
   B      427   123748030  1634469884    12642791    21681068     6619602
   C      457   306969612  4385055982    36178481    55907703    15786200
   D      139   311794632  3716567214    22422694    55625206    11707185
   E      139   290309668  3736179850    30963146    47496615    10087683
   X        7     8514700   113668400      187088     2199948      306905
B  A      158    83582396  1187343086     9848407    15085794     6411650
   B      518   386739789  5947123964    46349575    78540026    29438261
   C      393   421463161  6455362479    45853355    89709254    29049128
   D       73   106188510  1579635393    10900891    22271447     6397521
   E       99   413869036  6186253980    45202346    84708988    22270512
   X        4    70380000   984143999     8264410    12402612     3100053
C  A      238   285255970  5243546801    42831382    67283068    33034342
   B      579   635189096 11150947722    74791827   159378019    65233038
   C      309   277104774  4852678280    38926397    62979836    26204460
   D       35   371114696  7091376321    46985279   101933591    35102312
   E       41   519031356  9360143981    75240846   121322153    42120644
D  A      244   536411000 10421476686    72135324   146715629    75034626
   B      484   492104682  9197628276    70192142   122957997    62083982
   C      168   755741858 13756104967   108352113   180526039    86663454
   D       18   372000633  8485927063    49402479   128801953    49642675
   E        9   210000000  4888799190    29550510    73114239    26399517
   X        1          70        1008           8          13           5
E  A      388  1197545498 25561529521   195194231   341597742   207048338
   B      455   770484062 16321797691   128429451   214328192   124861721
   C       98   576919806 14425146640   105470633   197457392   103861052
   D        7    90000009  2259199846    18977278    28465905    15249598
   E        8   220000205  5312002773    31825906    79726112    33465618
F  A      485  2057697253 46943225769   353925632   631881957   422488919
   B      251  1211548070 30258234622   193112777   442310051   258707866
   C       33   526002372 12930759838    57950381   213595536   104739156
   D        4    70000000  1724799489     2173247    34047535    13194718
   E        1           0           1           0           0           0
G  A       55   629559473 16861332211   104005742   250082149   166927119
   B       21   285000680  7358603343    33215632   121315021    69538786
H  X        1           0           0           0           0           0


Enjoy!

wildstar@qrc.com